Service Plays Thursday 6/9/11

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 854-375 (.695)
ATS: 642-638 (.502)
ATS Vary Units: 1514-1499 (.502)
Over/Under: 666-633 (.513)
Over/Under Vary Units: 797-770 (.509)

NBA Finals
Game 5, best-of-7
DALLAS 94, Miami 90
 
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Heat at Mavericks Game 5: What Bettors Need To Know

Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks (-2, 185)
Series Tied 2-2

THE STORY: Even with a fever approaching 102 degrees Fahrenheit, Dirk Nowitzki still had enough juice to complete another stunning Dallas Mavericks rally. The Mavs hope Nowitzki will be back at full strength Thursday as they host the Miami Heat in Game 5 of the NBA Finals. Dallas' win Tuesday evened the best-of-seven at two wins apiece.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC, TSN

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS: Dallas couldn't buy a basket in the fourth quarter of Game 4, so Nowitzki used his free-throw excellence to drag the Mavericks out of a nine-point deficit and into striking range. Struggling to catch his breath throughout the final period, Nowitzki mustered enough energy to hit the pivotal shot with 14.4 seconds remaining on the clock. Dallas' suffocating defense took over from there, nearly creating a turnover on Miami's final possession before forcing the Heat to take a desperation 3-pointer that missed badly as time expired. Nowitzki had some help for a change, with four teammates scoring at least 11 points in the win.

ABOUT THE HEAT: If NBA games were 36-minute affairs, South Beach would be awash in champagne. The Heat have led entering the fourth quarter in all four games of the Finals, but another late meltdown Tuesday has turned the series into a best-of-three affair. LeBron James did little on the offensive end, recording just eight points to finish short of double digits for the first time in his playoff career. Chris Bosh had a sensational first half but took several questionable shots after the break. Dwyane Wade was the offensive star with 32 points, but his fumble of a Mike Miller pass in the dying moments cost Miami a chance at a decent game-tying shot.

WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: Mavericks F Shawn Marion gave Dallas the offensive boost it needed on a night when the basket seemed smaller than ever. He finished with 16 points on 7-of-12 shooting while continuing to play his trademark stifling defense on Wade and James. Miami G Mario Chalmers hit four 3-pointers in Game 3 but was invisible Tuesday night, missing all three of his long-range attempts.

KEY STATISTIC: 0-7 - The collective record of James' teams when he finishes with fewer than 15 points in a postseason game.

TRENDS:

* Under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.
* Heat are 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Dallas.
* Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.
* Road team is 21-8-2 ATS in the last 31 meetings.
* Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

LAST WORD: "We all (saw) him go through walkthroughs. "Every time he started to talk he started coughing. He was wheezing." - Chandler on the ailing Nowitzki
 
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PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday’s Best NBA Bet

Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks (-1, 185)

At this point in the NBA Finals we have a lot more questions than answers.

Is LeBron James really out of gas and can’t be counted on to carry the Heat? Can Dirk Nowitzki fight through his flu symptoms? Is any fourth-quarter lead safe?

Should over bettors just waive the white flag?

It’s enough to make your bankroll spin.

Following Dallas’ miracle comeback 86-83 win to tie the series 2-2, everybody has been ripping LeBron James, who didn’t score a single point in the fourth quarter as

the Mavs outscored the Heat 21-9 down the stretch.

Of all the criticism, DeShawn Stevenson’s comment that James had “checked out” was probably the most pointed – and maybe the most accurate.

LeBron shrugged off Stevenson’s comments, but it’s not hard to tell they hit home.

"I've got to do a better job of being more assertive offensively," James told reporters. "I'm confident in my ability. It's just about going out there and knocking them down."

"I think it's that time that I try to get myself going individually."

That’s bad news for Mavericks bettors because like it or not, LeBron is the key to this series and we all know how he plays when guys start calling him out.

The line sits at -1 after opening at -2 and you might be better to wait to see if some Dallas bets move the line back up, but either way, it’s a Miami bet.

PICK: Heat
 
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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
MLB Betting: St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros
By: Jeff Grant

St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros (-105, 8.5)

The National League Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals are set to close out a three-game series versus the Houston Astros Thursday night with the first pitch scheduled for 5:05 (PT) at Minute Maid Park.

St. Louis has won four straight heading Wednesday’s action and a lot of that is due to the resurgence of star first baseman Albert Pujols. He is batting .419 with six home runs, 11 RBIs and 12 runs in his last eight games.

His recent exploits caused him to be named NL Player of the Week for the 11th time in his career.

Cardinals rookie pitcher Lance Lynn (0-1, 8.44 ERA) will be making his second career start, dropping a 12-7 home contest last time out on June 2 versus San Francisco. He allowed five runs and four hits over 5 1/3 innings, but also showed some positive signs in not issuing a single walk.

Lynn’s first outing may have been doomed due to pitching on three days rest for Triple-A Memphis.

St. Louis has thrived in playing the third game of a series, posting a stellar 16-6 mark in that particular situation. The club is also a solid 6-1 on Thursday.

Houston will be playing its third contest of a 10-game homestand, looking to improve upon its 11-18 mark at Minute Maid Park following the series-opening loss. Bettors will find little difference in the team’s performance with the roof open or closed, registering a 5-10 and 6-7 mark respectively.

The Astros offense has been up to par most of the year, ranking second in the National League in batting .271 with runners in scoring position. This has been reflected in ‘over’ backers collecting on 34 of 61 tickets.

Southpaw hurler J.A. Happ (3-7, 4.65 ERA) is scheduled to make his 13th start of the season and has seen the ‘over’ go 7-1 in his last eight outings versus divisional opponents. Happ has also struggled against the Cardinals in his career, producing a 1-4 mark and 5.13 ERA in six starts.

He was handed a 6-5 home loss on April 27 against them, allowing two runs and five hits over five frames. Pujols has touched him up for a .286 average with a homer and three RBIs in 14 at-bats.

Home plate umpire Tom Hallion will be seeing both pitchers for the first time in his career. He’s been a pitcher’s best friend with his games averaging just 6.75 runs, but the ‘under’ is just 4-4 in those contests.

Weather forecasts suggest a game-time temperature in the low-90s, which will likely cause the retractable roof to be closed.
 
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HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins (+125, 8.5)

If ever the Twins needed a big hit, it was in extra innings on Wednesday after closer Matt Capps blew his sixth save of the year by giving up a two-out homer in the ninth inning.

That hit came from rookie Ben Revere in the 10th, giving Minnesota a 3-2 win over the Cleveland Indians and its second consecutive series win on the road.

The Twins have a long way to go as they still sit 11 ½ games back of the Indians in the division, but at least they can finally unpack their bags for a while.

Minnesota’s win on Wednesday capped off stretch of playing 40 of their first 61 games on the road. The Twins will now be at home for 30 of their next 40.

"We need to get home and get ourselves comfortable there," manager Ron Gardenhire told reporters. "We need to continue this running around the bases and play some exciting baseball to get our fans into it. We need to give them some entertainment at home, and it's about time."

Let’s see it, skip.

PICK: Twins


St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros (-105, 8.5)

On first glance, Lance Lynn’s first MLB start doesn’t look like anything he ought to be hanging his hat on. The 24 year old right-hander was tagged for five runs in 5 1/3 innings in a 12-7 loss to the San Francisco Giants last week.

But those numbers don’t tell the whole story. Lynn looked cool as ice sitting down the first 10 Giants he faced and needed just 54 pitches to get through five innings with five strikeouts.

If it wasn’t for a few defensive gaffes behind him that helped San Francisco put a few runs on the board, he could have been in the game a lot longer.

"It was good to get it under my belt. It gives me something to build off of. I need to keep pushing and keep fighting and getting deeper into games and not let that one inning happen,” Lynn told reporters.

This kid has some composure. Jump on the visiting Cardinals at this price.

PICK: Cardinals
 
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Thursday’s Betting Tips: Chipper Calls Out Heyward

Who's Hot

NBA: Miami is 6-1-1 against the spread in its last eight.

MLB: The over is 8-1-1 in Toronto’s last 10 games.

MLB: San Francisco has won 12 of its last 16 home games.

Who’s Not

NBA: The under is 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas between the Mavericks and Heat.

MLB: The Oakland Athletics have lost nine straight games.

MLB: Washington has won just six of its last 28 games in San Diego.

Key Stat

2 – The Miami Heat scored on just two of its last 20 possessions in Game 4’s loss to the Dallas Mavericks. During that 13-minute span in the fourth quarter the Mavs outscored Miami 19-7 and forced seven turnovers.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Brendan Haywood, Dallas Mavericks – After playing just three minutes in Game 3 before taking himself out of the contest, Haywood admitted that his hip injury could keep him out of the remainder of the NBA Finals. Dallas’ backup center was averaging about 15 minutes per game, so Tyson Chandler is going to have a heavy workload.

Game Of The Day

Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks (-1, 184.5)

Notable Quotable

“What Jason needs to realize is that Jason at 80 percent is a force, and Jason at 80 percent is better than a lot of people in this league. And that there are a bunch of his teammates that are out there playing with discomfort and not healthy, and still going at it.” – Atlanta Braves third baseman Chipper Jones on injured teammate Jason Heyward, who has been out of the lineup since May 21 with a shoulder issue. Heyward broke in as a rookie last season and turned a lot of heads, but was hitting only .214 with seven homers when he hit the shelf this year.

Tips And Notes

The San Diego Padres hope a 21-year-old slugger can provide a little pop to their lineup. Anthony Rizzo is expected to be promoted to the big leagues in time for Thursday’s game against Washington after rehabbing a left thumb injury. Rizzo had hit 16 dingers in 52 Triple-A games before getting the call from the big club. The Padres rank dead last in the majors in averaging just 3.41 runs per game.

The first week of the WNBA schedule has been pretty tough for the Minnesota Linx. They have managed to win two of their first three (covering once) over a five-day span, but they aren’t out of the woods just yet. They’re set as 7.5-point underdogs Thursday at against the Shock and last season’s MVP Lauren Jackson. "Seattle is the defending champs, and it's the toughest arena to play in, in all of the league," Linx coach Cheryl Reeve told reporters. "We'll see if we can win there, see if we can have the toughness to win a road game in a really tough environment with some really good players.”
 
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Hondo

A.J. was NG as usual last night, so Hondo, who had sweep dreams after hitting with the Twins and Rangers, took a beating with the Bombers that left him 1,185 gilliams in the hole.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will give Kershaw an opportu nity to try out for a stall in his Stable of Stalwarts -- 10 units on the Dodgers.
 
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Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

SportingKansasCity + ChicagoFire UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in United States
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Dallas

The Heat look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 home games. Miami is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">THURSDAY, JUNE 9
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 709-710: Miami at Dallas (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.641; Dallas 126.108
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+1 1/2); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at San Franciso

The Reds look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 1-4 in Madison Bumgarner's last 5 home starts. Cincinnati is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">THURSDAY, JUNE 9
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 901-902: Arizona at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmeter) 15.980; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.672
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 14.556; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.989
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 905-906: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.707; Florida (Volstad) 14.288
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 907-908: St. Louis at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 14.299; Houston (Happ) 14.577
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-105); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 909-910: NY Mets at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 15.452; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 16.000
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.243; Colorado (Nicasio) 15.481
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 913-914: Washington at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 15.046; San Diego (Harang) 16.036
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 915-916: Cincinnati at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.320; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.454
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 917-918: Toronto at Kansas City (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 14.142; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.657
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 919-920: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.008; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.573
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 921-922: Seattle at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 16.480; Detroit (Verlander) 16.196
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+180); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 923-924: Texas at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 16.574; Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.125
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 925-926: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 13.902; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.948
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> </tr></tbody></table>
 

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Write-Up


Thursday, June 9

Hot pitchers
-- Collmenter is 3-1, 2.15 in five starts this season. Karstens has a 2.51 RA in his last five starts.
-- Jurrjens is 7-2, 1.75 in ten starts this season.
-- Gallardo is 6-0, 1.54 in his last six starts.
-- Kershaw is 4-0, 2.66 in his last seven starts. Nicasio is 1-1, 2.77 in his first couple starts.
-- Harang is 1-0, 1.95 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 2-1, 2.54 in his last four starts. Cueto has a 2.40 RA in his last couple starts.

-- Romero is 3-1, 2.17 in his last five starts.
-- Beckett is 2-1, 1.50 in his last seven starts. Sabathia is 4-0, 1.87 in his last four outings.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 3.00 in his last five starts.
-- Blackburn is 4-0, 2.83 in his last seven starts. Holland is 2-0, 3.07 in his last couple starts.
-- Buehrle is 4-1, 2.85 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wells is 1-1, 5.74 in his last three starts. Kendrick is 1-1, 6.23 in his three starts this season.
-- Volstad is 0-3, 5.48 in his last four starts.
-- Happ is 0-3, 4.70 in his last four starts. Lynn allowed five runs in his first start, in 5.1 IP against the Giants.
-- Niese is 1-3, 7.89 in his last four road starts.
-- LHernandez is 0-5, 4.23 in his last seven starts; Nationals were shut out four times in his last six starts.

-- Hochevar is 0-3, 6.06 in his last five starts.
-- Fister is 1-2, 4.29 in his last three starts.
-- Cahill is 0-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 9-4-2 in Arizona's last fifteen road games.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Phillies' last fifteen home games.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last nine Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of Mets' last seven road games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-2 in last thirteen games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Petco Park.
-- Under is 14-3 in San Francisco's last seventeen home games.

-- Nine of last eleven Toronto games went over the total.
-- Last eight Boston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Seattle road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-4 in Rangers' last fifteen road games.
-- Seven of White Sox' last ten home games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Pirates won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Braves won five of their last seven road games.
-- Milwaukee won 14 of its last 18 games. Mets won four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Giants won six of their last eight games.
-- San Diego won eight of its last twelve games.

-- Red Sox won seven of their last eight road games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games. Rangers won 12 of their last 17 games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last twelve home games.
-- Detroit won eight of its last ten games.
-- Blue Jays won nine of their last thirteen road games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost its last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Cubs lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Astros lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Washington lost 15 of its last 21 games.
-- Colorado lost 13 of its last 19 games. Dodgers are 4-7 in their last 11 road games.
-- Reds lost four of their last five road games.

-- Bronx lost nine of its last thirteen home games.
-- Oakland lost its last nine games, outscored 53-25.
-- Kansas City lost 14 of its last 18 games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last six games.
 

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